Membangun Pertumbuhan Ekonomi melalui Hubungan IPM - Pengangguran: Pendekatan ARDL di Jawa Tengah
Keywords:
GDRP, Human Quality, Unemployment Rate, ARDL
Abstract
Measuring the development performance of a region can be done by assessing its economic growth. The caliber of human capital and its function as a labor force are the primary catalysts for economic expansion. The objective of the study is to examine the correlation between the Human Development Index (HDI), which measures human quality, and the unemployment rate on economic growth (GRDP) in all districts/cities in Central Java Province that employed the ARDL method The study's findings, based on data spanning from 2010 to 2023, demonstrate a consistent and significant influence of HDI and TPT on GDRP, both in the short and long run. Over time, the influence of HDI on GDRP has increasingly become favorable, as has TPT. The coefficient of HDI is 0.0079 in the short term, and it increases to 0.0366 in the long term. TPT has observed a long-term decline in the coefficient value, decreasing from -0.0057 to -0.0019. This condition highlights the significance of long-term human development, particularly in the context of digitalization. An active collaboration is required among the government, companies, and society to enhance the caliber of human resources by leveraging technology.
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Supranto, J. 1995. Ekonometrik Buku Dua. Jakarta: Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia.
Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Jawa Tengah. n.d. Kegunaan Statistik Pendapatan Nasional. https://jateng.bps.go.id/subject/11/produk-domestik-regional-bruto--pengeluaran-.html. (23 Jul 2024).
Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Jawa Tengah. PDRB Jawa Tengah Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2010 Menurut Lapangan Usaha (Juta Rupiah) 2010-2023. https://jateng.bps.go.id/statictable/2017/11/06/1683/-seri-2010-pdrb-jawa-tengah-atas-dasar-harga-konstan-2010-menurut-lapangan-usaha-juta-rupiah-2010---2023.html. (4 Agu 2024)
Baum, C.F. 2000. Tests for stationarity of a time series. StataTechnical Bulletin 57: 36–39.
Bhagawanta, W.A. 2021. Analisis Pengaruh IPM, Penanaman Modal, dan Kemiskinan terhadap PDRB di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Jawa Tengah. (Skripsi). Yogyakarta. Universitas Islam Indonesia.
Brown. S.H. 2009. Multiple Linear Regression Analysis: A Matrix Approach with MATLAB. Alabama Journal of Mathematics 34: 1-3.
Budihardjo, A., Arianti, F., dan Mas’ud, F. 2020. Pengaruh Investasi, Tenaga Kerja, dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia terhadap PDRB (Studi Kasus Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Tahun 2016-2018). Diponegoro Journal of Economics 9(2).
Castells-Quintana, D. dan Royuela, V. 2012. Unemployment and Long-Run Economic Growth: The Role of Income Inequality and Urbanisation. Investigaciones Regionales 24: 153-173.
Elistia dan Syahzuni, B.A. 2018. The Correlation Of The Human Development Index (HDI) Towards Economic Growth (GDP Per Capita) in 10 ASEAN Member Countries. Journal of Humanities And Social Studies 2: 40 - 46.
Ferreira, S.L.C., A.O. Caires, T.d.S. Borges, A.M.D.S. Lima, L.O.B. Silva dan W.N.L.D. Santos. 2016. Robustness evaluation in analytical methods optimized using experimental designs. Microchemical Journal 131: 163-169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.microc.2016.12.004.
Frimpong, M.J. dan E.F. Oteng. 2006. Bound Testing Approach: An Examination of Foreign Direct Investment, Trade and Growth Relationships. Munich Personal RePEc Archive (MRPA) Paper 352: 1–19.
Irmayanti. 2017. Pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Kabupaten Polewali Mandar. (Skripsi). Makassar. Universitas Islam Negeri C
Iskandar, I. 2017. Effect of Human Development Index Fund on Economic Growth Through a Special Autonomy. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan 18: 40-49.
Kaur, P., J. Stoltzfus dan V. Yellapu. 2018. Descriptive statistics. International Journal of Academic Medicine 4: 60-63.
Kristina. A.Y.D. 2017. Pengaruh Pendapatan Asli Daerah, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia dan Tenaga Kerja Terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (38 Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 2011-2016). Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi 1: 176 - 188. doi: 10.22219/jie.v1i2.6143
Moore, D. S., Notz, W.I., dan Flinger, M. A. 2013. The basic practice of statistics (6th ed.). New York: W. H. Freeman and Company.
Muryani dan Pamungkas, P.A. 2018. The Impact Of Unemployment Rate, Labor Force, Capital, Inflation Rate, And Government Expenditure On Economic Growth In Indonesia, American Journal of Engineering Research (AJER) 7: 109-119.
Nkoro, E. dan Uko, A.K. 2016. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration technique: application and interpretation. Journal of Statistical and Econometrics Methods 5: 63-91.
Ogbonna, A.E., Adediran, I.A., Oloko, T.F., dan Isah, K.O. 2022. Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and youth unemployment in Africa. Quantity & Quality 57: 5055-5077.
Ridha, M.R. dan Parwanto, B.N. 2020. The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment, Human Development and Macroeconomic Condition on Economic Growth: Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics 8: 46-54.
Schultz, T.W. 1961. Investment in Human Capital. The American Economic Review 51: 1- 17.
Septiatin, A.A., Mawardi, M.M., dan Rizki, M.A.K. 2016. Pengaruh Inflasi dan Tingkat Pengangguran terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia. I-Economics 2: 50-65.
Siregar, D.R. dan Tanjung, A.A. 2020. Pengaruh Infrastruktur dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten Langkat 2010-2019. Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis 19: 173-180.
Siregar, S.I. 2022. Have Investment and Technology Been Effective in Reducing Unemployment? (An Analysis in Indonesia Using Generalized Method of Moment). Di dalam: NST Proceedings: 2nd Basic and Applied Science Conference (BASC) 2022. 88-95. doi: 10.11594/ nstp.2022.2513
Soylu, Ö.B., Çakmak, I., dan Okur, F. 2018. Economic Growth And Unemployment Issue: Panel Data Analysis in Eastern European Countries. Journal of International Studies 11: 93-107. doi:10.14254/2071-8330.2018/11-1/7
Sugiyono. 2012. Metode Penelitian Kuantitatif, Kualitatif, dan R&D. Bandung: Alfabet.
Sumanto, A., Abbas, M.H.I., Rahmawati, F., dan Merlinda, S. (2020). Do Technological Developments Reduce Unemployment in Indonesia? Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research 124.
Supranto, J. 1995. Ekonometrik Buku Dua. Jakarta: Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia.
Published
2025-10-23
How to Cite
Adiwicaksana, Y. R., & Yesica Marseilla. (2025). Membangun Pertumbuhan Ekonomi melalui Hubungan IPM - Pengangguran: Pendekatan ARDL di Jawa Tengah. Jurnal Pembangunan Daerah, 1(2), 60-79. https://doi.org/10.36762/jpd.v1i2.1224
Section
Research Paper
